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Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Tuesday 21st January , 2025 - Issued at 7.10am by Chas

   

 

 

Headline Summary: A Damp Day.


Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... a front is going to be sat on top of us for much of today, so it is looking like being a rather damp one, with plenty of rain expected. We should see brighter conditions during Wednesday, with the background risk of one or two showers, before the next front brings a wet Thursday morning. Thereafter, a very deep area of low pressure will be steaming towards the UK, so further spells of rain are expected but also some very strong winds and there is likely to be a spell of severe gales overnight into Friday...

 

Remember to check out the Abersoch Hydro webcam on the main beach, providing you with 8 different views where you can see for yourself the sea and weather conditions on the main beach... click here..

 

 

Today: Tuesday: Cloudy and wet through the day as a front is set to be close by. Some of the rain may be heavy. Moderate winds from a southerly quarter, perhaps gusting fresh at times, but it should be generally less breezy later. Temperatures between 7c and 8c from the word go and not changing much through the day. Showers are possible this evening and overnight. There could be clearer skies late in the night which would allow temperatures to tumble down towards grass frost levels.

 

Wednesday: Potentially brighter on Wednesday but there will be the chance of one or two heavy showers - so it will be a bit of a lottery scenario. However, with not much breeze, it should be feeling a bit more pleasant in any brighter spells, but temperatures may again be only up to between 7c and 8c.

 

Thursday: Rain in the morning with the chance of a drier and brighter afternoon. Rather windy from the southwest. Temperatures up to around 8c. Gales from a southerly quarter and rain overnight with the gale perhaps becoming severe with gusts between 70mph and 80mph possible later in the night.

 

Friday: Gales or severe gales on Friday. Early heavy rain may be replaced by brighter weather with perhaps a shower or two blowing through. The worst of the wind may be in the morning when gusts in excess of 70mph are possible for a time. Temperatures may be a little higher for a time on this day - perhaps getting to 10c early in the day but becoming chillier later. Winds easing later.

 

Outlook: There is some uncertainty regarding the wind strengths at the weekend, but it looks like being a changeable one with some brighter and drier periods, along with the chance of showers blowing through. There is a signal for a spell of rain on Saturday morning - but more info on this on subsequent updates. Gales are possible on Monday with some further rain too.

 

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Tuesday 28th January to Saturday 1st February ...is for unsettled weather with gales at times. Probably becoming fairly mild at times.

 

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...


   

GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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GFS at 240hrs
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ECMWF at 240hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

      
     

 

     

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk

 


 

 


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