Forecast For Abersoch : Friday 26th April, 2024 - Issued at 7.55am by Chas

Headline Summary: Fine Morning. Generally More Cloud Later.

Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... time is short again this morning - so another brief intro ... despite there being rain across Cardigan Bay to the south of us, we have a lovely start to the morning here in Abersoch with sunshine and a northeasterly breeze. With a bit of luck we will stay dry today, but the risk of showers looks like increasing tomorrow afternoon. On Sunday, it is looking likely that we will be to the west of an area of rain moving into southern and central Britain, so we could see a mostly sunny day...

Today: Friday: A fine start to the morning with sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. The cloud may increase at times during the day, but we should continue to see brighter or sunnier intervals coming and going and the shower risk looks like staying low. Feeling fairly chilly in the east-northeasterly breeze, with air temperatures only up to 10c or 11c, but sunnier periods should feel pleasant in sheltered spots. Generally more cloud this evening and a shower is possible overnight.

Saturday: Winds from the east or northeast, feeding in variable amounts of cloud. Potentially dry in the morning with brighter periods but the risk of showers may increase for the afternoon and evening- so, although it may be a bit of a lottery, we may see some showers for a time. The moderate breeze will feel chilly, with temperatures still struggling to get much above 10c.

Sunday: Potentially fine with sunny spells and a noticeable breeze from the northwest.

Monday: Perhaps turning unsettled and windier with stronger winds from a southerly quarter.

Tuesday: There are mixed messages from this morning's models. It is looking windy from the southeast, however, some charts show a very wet day and others show drier conditions and it could go either way.

Outlook: Low pressure may be to the south of the UK, with winds from an easterly quarter, but we could see some decent weather at times, with warmer temperatures, but we may see a spell of rain move through at some point, the timing of which is very uncertain.

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Saturday 4th May to Wednesday 8th May ... is for a generally changeable period, with a mixed bag of weather conditions, which should include at least one or two decent days.

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...

GFS at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr		UKMO at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr		ECMWF at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr

GFS at 192hrs copyright Meteociel.fr				ECMWF at 192hrs copyright Meteociel.fr

GFS at 10 days copyright Meteociel.fr				ECMWF at 10 days copyright Meteociel.fr

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

Tweets by abersochdotco  

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk