Forecast For Abersoch : Saturday 22nd June, 2024 - Issued at 7.30am by Chas




Headline Summary: Looking Good For Today.

Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... Friday saw more in the way of cloud and wind but the rain held off until almost evening and we did see some brighter spells during the day, so it didn't feel too bad at all. The evening rain was heavy for a time.


This morning has started on a brighter note and it should be lovely at times today and we should see plenty of decent weather over the coming days. There will be a weak front moving across the area tonight, so some cloud and low cloud may move in for a time during the second half of the evening and overnight periods with the chance of some light showers for a time overnight, but it should clear up early on Sunday morning.


Thereafter, at the moment, Monday and Tuesday are looking mostly fine and warm, but there is a question mark for the period from Wednesday to next weekend...


Today: Saturday: Mostly fine with a mix of sunny spells and fair weather cloud. Cloud amounts are little uncertain but there is a reasonable chance of some lengthy spells of sunshine developing. A breeze from the southwest is expected, light to moderate in strength. Feeling warm in the sunshine and temperatures may get up to 18c or 19c locally, with just a chance that we could touch 20c. Cloud is expected to increase during the second half of the evening with some low cloud and a bit of drizzle possible overnight. Mild overnight too.


Sunday: Cloudy to start the day but becoming mostly fine and warm during the second half of the moring and through the afternoon, with a mix of sunny spells and fair weather cloud and feeling pleasantly warm with mostly light southwesterly winds. Temperatures may edge a little bit above 20c.


Monday: Perhaps some early cloud to shift but potentially mostly fine with some decent spells of sunshine for the majority of the day and temperatures may be around 20c/21c in the afternoon, so feeling warm. Winds mostly light and from the southwest. Perhaps some cloud overnight.


Tuesday: Some uncertainty for Tuesday but we may see a continuation of the mostly fine and warm weather, with temperatures edging a touch higher.


Wednesday: There is loads of uncertainy by this time. There is the chance of low pressure bringing a showery breakdown on this day, but there is also a chance that this day could cling onto the fine weather!


Outlook: The period from Thursday to Saturday is VERY uncertain. The GFS model suggests a showery Thurday followed by a decent Friday and Saturday, but other scenarios are possible and we are likely to see some chopping and changing of the forecast for these 3 days.


Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Sunday 30th June to Wednesday 3rd July ... is obviously also very uncertain - so there is not much point in speculating on this period this morning.


Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...



GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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GFS at 10 days
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ECMWF at 10 days
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.












Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk