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Forecast For Abersoch : Tuesday 5th November, 2024 - Issued at 7.05am by Chas

   

 

 

Headline Summary: The Cloudy Skies Continue.


Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... it was cloudy and gloomy again on Monday and the cloud is expected to persist today and perhaps through much of tomorrow too. We may finally see some sunshine on Thursday.

 

By Friday, fronts associated with Atlantic low pressure systems will be edging closer from the west, with the chance of some rain on Friday afternoon or evening. Thereafter, there continues to be some mixed messages for next weekend, but we may see an OK Saturday, though some charts show Sunday as being potentially unsettled. The differences in the models for the weekend will mean that the apps and automated sites will show markedly different outcomes, depending on their source of data eg the BBC app this morning is showing some damp weather on Sunday where as websites such as XC weather show a mostly fine Sunday. Thereafter, all charts appear to then agree that an area of high pressure will be sat on top of us by the start of next week and, with a bit of luck, that high will bring clearer skies...

 

Remember to check out the Abersoch Hydro webcam on the main beach, providing you with 8 different views where you can see for yourself the sea and weather conditions on the main beach... click here...

 

Today: Tuesday: Plenty of cloud again and there is a chance of a few spits and spots coming and going, especially on the higher ground in the area. There is a low-ish chance of one or two birghter glimpses this afternoon. Light to moderate winds from a southerly quarter. Fairly mild throughout, with temperatures up to around 14c. Cloudy skies overnight.

 

Wednesday: Cloudy in the morning followed by the chance of slightly brighter spells breaking through the cloud in the afternoon. Winds light and from the southeast. Temperatures may be up a little at 15c.

 

Thursday: Brighter! Variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells. Perhaps a noticeable southeasterly wind. Mild with temperatures around 15c.

 

Friday: After a bright morning on Friday, cloud may thicken in the afernoon with some rain arriving - timing uncertain at this stage. Bit of a breeze again from the southeast and fairly mild throughout.

 

Outlook: There is plenty of uncertainty for the weekend, but it may be OK with winds from a southerly quarter on Saturday, with variable amounts of cloud, bright spells and fairly mild temperatures. Perhaps damp for a time on Sunday. Quiet weather on Monday with variable amounts cloud and the chance of some sunny spells too.

 

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Tuesday 12th November to Friday 15th November ... is for high pressure to be dominant, so mostly dry weather and we may see more in the way of sunshine by day and perhaps chillier nights if skies are clear.

 

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...

 

   

GFS at 144hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

UKMO at 144hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

ECMWF at 144hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

     

GFS at 192hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

ECMWF at 192hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr
     

GFS at 10 days
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

ECMWF at 10 days
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

 

 


For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

       
     

 

     

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk