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Forecast For Abersoch : Thursday 12th September, 2024 - Issued at 7.15am by Chas

   

 

 

Headline Summary: Chilly Winds Continue Today But Some Sunshine Too.


Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... we still have chilly winds with a northerly element today along with a shower lottery scenario, but as was the case yesterday, the majority of the day should be dry with some sunshine at times too.

 

We should then see dry and bright weather on Friday and Saturday, with winds backing to a less chilly southwesterly for the weekend. We may still see a front edging closer towards us on Sunday, perhaps bringing some showers for a time, but the outlook into next week is an increasingly fine one, with high pressure dominating...

 

Remember to check out the new Abersoch Hydro webcam on the main beach, providing you with 8 different views where you can see for yourself the sea and weather conditions on the main beach... click here...

 

 

Today: Thursday: The bright and very breezy shower lottery scenario continues today, with some sunshine but also the chance of a shower or two blowing through at any time on a strong north-northwesterly wind. There should be some decent spells of sunshine and the majority of the day will probably be dry. Feeling chilly in the wind and temperatures may be pegged back to a maximum of 14c. The shower risk fades overnight and clearer skies later in the night could allow temperatures to come down closer to grass frost levels in some local frost hollows.

 

Friday: Fine! Less windy and a dry day is expected with plenty of sunshine and variable amounts of patchy cloud coming and going. Feeling warmer after a cold start to the morning. Light and variable in direction breezes in the morning with a light to moderate southwesterly for the afternoon. Potentially a lovely day, though temperatures may not be that exciting with a max of 16c.

 

Saturday: Rather breezy from the south-southwest on Saturday and a dry day is expected with some sunshine at times. Perhaps cloudier later in the day and some charts suggest evening and overnight rain, so there remains some uncertainty regarding that, but there is a reasonable chance it will stay dry.

 

Sunday: Uncertain. A front may not be too far away to the west, and this may increase cloud amounts and perhaps bring some damp weather at some point of the day.

 

Outlook: Increasingly fine and warmer from Monday to Wednesday. Early cloud may give way to some decent spells of sunshine on Monday afternoon and the sunshine should continue through Tuesday and Wednesday.

 

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Thursday 19th September to Sunday 22nd September ... is for high pressure to be dominant, so a fine few days are possible, with some daytime warmth developing too. Note that some charts show low pressure to the south of Britain later in the period.

 

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...

 

   

GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

     

GFS at 192hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

ECMWF at 192hrs
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GFS at 10 days
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ECMWF at 10 days
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

 

 


For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

       
     

 

     

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk