Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

   


Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Friday 18th January, 2019 at 7.40am By Chas

   

 

Headline Summary: Cold Wind & Damp.


General Situation: Good morning - bore da - an area of low pressure is situated to the west-northwest of the British Isles this morning and an occuded front is edging into the west and southwest of Britain, bringing some rain and sleet to the area, along with a cold wind from the south-southeast. Low pressure won't be too far away tomorrow, bringing a bit of a shower lottery scenario to the area and then a cold front is set to bring a period of cloud and a bit of drizzle or rain during Sunday. The chilly and changeable theme of weather extends into next week and it does look as though things may become very much colder with winds from the north and then perhaps the east, with the potential for some very cold air to arrive by next weekend from the continent...

 

Today (Friday): Strong south-southeasterly winds this morning will have a noticeably cold edge and, as a front associated with the area of low pressure mentioned above, edges into the area, a spell of rain is expected this morning, perhaps heavy for a time and there is the chance of a bit of sleet mixed in, especially on the higher ground of the peninsula. Rain or drizzle becoming showery in nature this afternoon and generally drier this evening, but winds remaining noticeable from the south-southeast and although temperatures should have picked up a bit later in the day, it will still feel rather cold.


Tonight: Chance of a shower with plenty of cloud and still a moderate to fresh south-southeasterly wind.


Saturday: Winds from the east or southeast and feeling chilly and there looks like being a bit of a mixed bag of weather with the eveer present chance of showers, due to the proximity of low pressure, along with periods of drier, brighter and perhaps sunnier weather. Some clear spells overnight could lead to a localised grass frost in the sheltered spots.

Sunday: Another chilly day and after a cold and bright start, cloud may increase with a front edging in and bringing a spell of cloud and drizzle around the middle of the day. Winds generally from a northerly quarter and variable in strength. Perhaps dry with variable amounts of cloud and some clear spells overnight.


Outlook: A transient ridge of high pressure overnight into Monday may bring some decent weather during Monday morning and into the afternoon, before it gets pushed out of the way by fronts piling in during the evening and overnight, bringing rain. Cold, windy and showery on Tuesday and Wednesday and it may become cold enough for the showers to have a wintry flavour!


Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from the 24th January 2019 to 28th January 2019 - is for a cold period of weather, perhaps becoming very cold as winds may have an easterly element, dragging in some cold air from the continent.


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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GFS Parallel at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

   
   

 

   

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk