Forecast For Abersoch Issued:
Saturday 24th June, 2017 at 8.20am By Chas


Headline Summary
Plenty Of Cloud This Morning - Perhaps A Brighter Afternoon.

General Situation: Low pressure to the north of Scotland continues to drive the wearther today, feeding in brisk winds from the west or southwest and a mixed bag of conditions. For this weekend, both days may see the chance of showers increase for a time in the monring, with generally better weather for the afternoons. Futher areas of low pressure look set to dominate the weather through next week bringing fronts and rain from time to time, as well as some better periods, however, the pattern is very, very different to what was seen earlier this week and an Atlantic sourced, mobile weaterly pattern looks set in for some time - if this morning's extended charts are to be believed...

Today (Saturday): Plenty of cloud this morning with some brighter interludes possible, however, a shower cannot be ruled out. The cloud may break up a little more this afternoon, especially later in the day. Winds moderate to fresh and from the southwest, veering to the west later and decreasing in strength. Perhaps a fine period this evening.

Tonight: Cloud increasing with showers overnight.

Sunday: A front may bring some showers first thing in the day with an improving picture thereafter, with the morning cloud being replaced by a much brighter afternoon. Winds moderate to fresh and from the west in the morning, veering towards the northwest and generally moderate in strength through the afternoon, then light and variable on Sunday night.

Monday: A new area of low pressure edging in from the west may introoduce a front with cloud and drizzle and rain, though there is plenty of uncertainty regarding both the timing of this and also how active this front might be - but a generally cloud and showery day looks a potential outcome.

Outlook: Changeable conditions from Tuesday to Thursday with each day seeing the chance of showers at some stage but also some periods of sunshine, though low pressure will remain in charge. Within this 3 day period there is the chance of a wet day and also a dry and bright day, however, the movement of the lows and fronts is yet to be resolved, so the detail for each day is elusive at present - hence "changeable" is a best fit description!

Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from Friday 30th June to Tuesday 4th July is for a continuation of changeable conditons with an Atlantic dominated scenario with winds from a prevailing westerly quarter, with low pressure the dominant influence on the Abersoch weather. In practical terms, it potentially means some wet days, some better days and some so-so days.



GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF 00Z at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.


For the latest live conditions - check the Abersoch automated weather station in the village (sheltered location).












Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk