Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Saturday 13th August, 2022 at 8.20am By Chas



Headline Summary: Heat Continues Today.


General Situation: Good morning - bore da...temperatures in the area are already above 21c this morning, after exceeding 31c yesterday, so this notable, Med style hot spell continues today. It does now look as though tomorrow will escape any showers, with another great day of weather expected, before the risk of showers increases by Monday. Thereafter, next week is looking far more changeable, with low pressure exerting much more of an influence, bringing a mixed bag of weather conditons and there are likely to be some spells of rain during the week - though the timing and intensity of these is uncertain at the moment -however, max daytime temperatures will come down by around 10c in comparison to the current values...


Today (Saturday): The beach weather continues - hot and sunny, with perhaps some patchy areas of high cloud. Not much breeze at times, though sea breezes could develop during the day on a local level. Temperatures again maxing out close to, or above 30c.


Tonight: Warm and mostly clear overnight with a breeze from the northeast.

Sunday: Mostly fine and sunny, though there is expected to be more in the way of cloud, making the sunshine hazier at times, but it should still feel very warm or hot. Light and variable in direction breezes. The risk of a thundery shower may increase on Sunday night.


Monday: There will be the chance of one or two thundery showers on Monday, bringing a lottery scenario to the days weather, so at the moment, it is impossible to suggest the timing of these. There should be some sunny intervals too, but temperatures will be coming down, especially later in the day.

Outlook: Changeable conditions from Tuesday to Thursday, with the shower risk increasing at times and temperatures coming down to more normal levels. Day to day details regarding the risk of any rain to be confirmed, but it is expected to become quite breezy and feel cooler in comparison to the current conditions, however, there should be some spells of sunshine in the mix too.


Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Friday 19th August to Tuesday 23rd August ... is for a changeable period, with low pressure playing more of a dominant role, so a mixed bag of weather conditons is expected, with temperatures closer to the seasonal norm. Potentially breezy at times.



GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.












Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk