Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

   


Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Tuesday 14th August, 2018 at 9.35am By Chas

   

 

Headline Summary: OK Today.

General Situation: Good morning - bore da from Abersoch... yesterday showed how we can still get periods of really nice sunshine during these changeable spells of Atlantic driven, low pressure dominated weather, with a lovely few hours for the beaches yesterday afternoon, before the cloud returned for the evening. The changeable theme is set to continue for the next few days at least and we have to go to the far reaches of some of the extended charts to find any hints of high pressure returning. So, back to this morning and it is an OK start here in Abersoch, with plenty of cloud overhead, with some breaks in the cover allowing some sunnier interludes...

... remember, we often have updates on most days over on the report page...


Today (Tuesday): Cloudy at times today, which may break from time to time to allow through some sunnier spells and it does looks as though it will stay dry throughout. Chance of some decent spells of sunshine developing for a time as the cloud comes and goes. The breeze will again be a feature, with a noticeable moderate southwesterly which may gust to fresh at times. Sheltered spots doing best for warmth today.

Tonight: Breezy, variable amounts of cloud and perhaps some drizzly showers later in the night.

Wednesday: Wednesday is still all about when fronts will arrive from the west, associated with a deep area of low pressure out in the Atlantic and at the moment, it looks as though these will bring an increasing chance of drizzly bits and pieces through the morning, blown on a strong southwesterly wind, with heavier and more persistent rain for the afternoon and evening periods, when those winds are expected to gust to gale force - so potentially not the best afternoon! Rain easing later in the evening but the strong winds may continue.

Thursday: Bright and breezy conditions on Thursday with strong west-southwesterly winds, with a mix of sunnier and cloudier spells and the chance of a shower or two blowing through the area. Chance of a more organised band of showers passing through at some stage, perhaps during the afternoon, but this is far from certain. Feeling cooler in the wind, but fine in sheltered spots in the sunny spells.

Outlook: Friday may see low pressure to the northwest of Britain bringing another set of fronts to the area and some strong or gale force southwesterly winds, along with the chance of a spell of rain. There are mixed messages regarding the detail for the weekend, but a changeable theme does look likely with winds perhaps strong at times, as low pressure may never be too far away.

Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from 20th August 2018 to 24th August 2018 - is for the changeable spell to continue for the first half of the period. Later in the period, some charts this morning suggest a return of high pressure, however, the overall picture from all the charts and ensembles we look at does suggest a continuation of the changeable theme. So, some glimmers this morning of something more settled, but these are only glimmers at the moment!


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

   
   

 

   

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk