Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

   


Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Friday 17th November, 2017 at 6.55am By Chas
   

 

Headline Summary: Mostly Fine - Some Sunshine & Some Cloud.

General Situation: The Abersoch area is under the influence of higher pressure today with dry and fairly chilly weather along with some sunny intervals, before cloud amounts increase overnight, bringing some damper weather which may last into Saturday morning, before something potentially brighter and chillier arrives for Saturday afternoon. This decent weather may last into the evening, associated with some relatively chilly air, beofre milder air starts to return on Sunday, associated with a warm front that is expected to approach from the southwest, increasing the cloud and potentially bringing some rain later. Thereafter, milder air and some wet weather at times too, will be the theme for early next week, with winds from a moist southwesterly direction. There have been hints of colder weather in the outlook recently, however, the charts have generally swung to a mostly milder outlook over the last couple of days, with the caveat that huge swings between model runs does mean the extended outlook is very uncertain...

Today (Friday): A mix today of sunny spells and areas of cloud moving across from time to time, with winds mostly light and from a westerly quarter, perhaps touching moderate later in the afternoon and into the evening. Variable amounts of cloud to end the daytime period with cloud generally increasing later in the evening.

Tonight: Potentially plenty of cloud overnight with some showery drizzle. Winds moderate and from a westerly quarter.

Saturday: Early cloud and some rain or drizzle, gradually giving way to drier weather with a mostly dry and brighter afternoon expected, with still perhaps plenty of cloud at times, but also some brighter interludes. Fairly chilly during the day with a light to moderate northwesterly breeze.


Sunday: Chilly and quiet weather to start Sunday with not much breeze, some clear bits but also patchy cloud overhead. The decent weather may last into the afternoon with a deterioration possible later with increasaing wind from the southwest, increasing cloud and some evening and overnight rain. Becoming milder by evening and mild temperatures overnight.

Outlook: Unsettled weather from Monday to Wednesday next week with low pressure dominating and fronts may never be too far away, so each of these days may see some rain or showers, though the timing and duration is uncertain at this stage. Generally staying quite mild throughout.

Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from 23rd November to November 27th is for the weather to remain rather changeable or perhaps unsettled at times. Often mild, but a colder snap still cannot be completely ruled out later in the period.


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF 00Z at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

   
   

 

   

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk